EU dissolves in ?
AI
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 51%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
62
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-3.3 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 25, 10:39 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 10:37 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
EU dissolves before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Politics / News
- Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when the EU dissolves (i.e., "dissolves in" a specific year), not whether it dissolves before a certain date.
- This is a multiple choice market where after one answer resolves YES, all others resolve NO.
- Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve before 2050 if the EU dissolves prior to the close date, or at the close date (2050) if it has not dissolved by then.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for EU dissolves in ??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does EU dissolves in ? resolve?
- EU dissolves in ? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2050.
- How is EU dissolves in ? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Politics / News