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What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

2.0% (24h)1y
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 28 • Low qualityThin market

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

$1.25T–$1.5T 33%

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

12.0% / 16.0%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Last updated: Jun 3, 10:12 PM

Resolves

Jul 1, 2027, 12:00 AM

24h Volume

$6.3

Liquidity

$13.4K

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-24.0%

Low liquidityThin marketHigh ambiguity
Started May 21, 2026, 6:03 PMEnds Jul 1, 2027, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
$1.25T–$1.5T
$1.25T–$1.5T
+0.5%33%
<$1T
<$1T
+0.5%20%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$1.75T–$2.0T
-1.5%15%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$1.0T–$1.25T
-2.0%14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$1.5T–$1.75T
-11%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$2.25T–$2.5T
-11%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2.0T–$2.25T
-4.5%5%
$2.5T+
$2.5T+
-5%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

  • The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S.
  • Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus.
  • Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
  • Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
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Macro-Sensitive Assets

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Topics

RegulationTechAI

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