KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJPMorgan Chase 5%-1.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$27.3
Liquidity
$7.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
JPMorgan Chase5%
Compare venues· Goldman Sachs
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 65% | +10pt | $27.3 | $7.8K | 16 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · verified | Low | 55% | 0pt | $0 | $21.8K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
1.0%1y
55%
-1.0%8%
4%
+16 more outcomes
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$35.8K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Goldman Sachs serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
- If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If JPMorgan Chase serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bank of America serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Citigroup serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$27Jul 517d of dataJul 22
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If Goldman Sachs serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
- If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If JPMorgan Chase serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bank of America serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Citigroup serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.