PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2029 · —
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Stored reference
2029 24%Leader of 3 outcomes
2029 24%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$482.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$932K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2029Spread
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Comments
14
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 10:38 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Bricks and Minifigs corporate declare bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla declare bankruptcy or be acquired by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.
- The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic.
- A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- "Anthropic" refers to Anthropic, PBC, the parent company of the Anthropic group, or any other entity that is controlled by, or is under common control with, Anthropic, PBC and that holds, directly or indirectly, all or substantially all of Anthropic's business and assets at the time of the filing or announcement.
- Unless named above, foreign entities, financing entities, special purpose vehicles, and entities used to separate specific legal liabilities will not qualify, even if they meet that test.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? · December 31, 2029 24%
