PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2029 19%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$21.7K
Liquidity
$119.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 10:29 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
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Manifold MarketsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bricks and Minifigs corporate declare bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.
- The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI.
- A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,86%
- December 15,83%
- November 30,-0.5pt77%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $52.6K
POLYMARKETIPOs before 2027?
- Cerebras100%
- SpaceX+0.1pt100%
- Wealthfront+0.7pt100%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- 202924%
- 202819%
- 20279%
- Total Vol
- $31.4K
- 24h Vol
- $31.4K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt84%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
- 202921%
- 202814%
- 20277%
- Total Vol
- $23.9K
- 24h Vol
- $23.9K
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date??
- Polymarket prices 2029 at 19% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date? resolve?
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.