Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
0.2 pts (24h)TechOne-OffSpaceCorporate Actions1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 46%-0.5ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$66.5K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
22
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 30, 26, 12:03 AMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.
- A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).
- Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? · Before 2028 68%
