PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 10%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 13.0%
Spread
116.7%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 10:40 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Volume trend
$1Jul 62d of dataJul 7
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries.
- An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company.