PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94.1%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 10:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (SPCX), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both TMUS and SPCX or their subsidiaries.
- An announcement by TMUS or SPCX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company.