PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 72%
No 72%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$77.7
Low liquidityOpen interest
$100
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 6:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Intesa Sanpaolo, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MPS and Intesa Sanpaolo and must not be restricted to only the subsidiaries of either company.
- An announcement by MPS or Intesa Sanpaolo within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company.