What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
4.5 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffAICorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$1.75–$2.00T · —
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Stored reference
$1.75–$2.00T 32.7%Leader of 8 outcomes
$1.75–$2.00T 32.7%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$27.5K
High liquidityOpen interest
$15.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
$1.75–$2.00TSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 1:45 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $1.75–$2.00T
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
- Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business.
- The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
- Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
- Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
- The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
