KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%
Market quality
90 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$20.8K
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement.
- Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.
- The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced.
- Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution.
- Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $113.6K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.3K
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $15K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.5pt86%
- ↑$1.25T+0.5pt58%
+12 more outcomes
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 92% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? resolve?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets.