Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 3.6%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 10:00 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
1.0%5mo
84%
+1.0%16%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$13.3K
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
5mo
88%
13%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.3M
24h Vol$79
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.7k85.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d ago$1.1k88.0%KALSHINo16d ago
KALSHINo16d ago$1.3k87.0%KALSHINo16d ago
KALSHINo16d ago$5.0k87.0%POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay? — NoXA05717d ago
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay? — NoXA05717d ago$1.5k88.0%KALSHINo18d ago
KALSHINo18d ago$2.6k88.0%POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay? — Noyen4u20d ago
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay? — Noyen4u20d agoVolume trend
$152Jul 152d of dataJul 16
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.