PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: $1.50-$1.75T
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
$1.50-$1.75T
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
92%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
$1.25-$1.50T1%
$1.50-$1.75T100%
$1.75-$2.00T0%
$1.00-$1.25T0%
$2.25T+0%
$1.50-$1.75TWon
$1.00-$1.25TLost
$1.25-$1.50TLost
$1.75-$2.00TLost
$2.00-$2.25TLost
$2.25T+Lost
<$1.00TLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
- If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time.
- If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class.
- Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
- The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
