Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
0.5 pts (24h)RegulationOne-OffTechCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
$4.00-$4.50T 26.4%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$34.4K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 12:03 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
- If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time.
- If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class.
- Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
- The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
Open markets
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- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $14.3M
- 24h Vol
- $157.6K
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-7.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-29.0pt24%
+7 more outcomes
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- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.5K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.1%
+5 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026??
- Polymarket prices $4.00-$4.50T at 26% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026? resolve?
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.