KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Dec 1, 2027 67%+1.0ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$555
Liquidity
$29.4K
High liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 7:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketStripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWill California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
KalshiRules
If Databricks confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $149K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+13.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-8.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.9%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.8%
- $1.5T–$1.75T-3.1pt16.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+18.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $49.4K
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Databricks officially announce an IPO??
- Kalshi prices Before Dec 1, 2027 at 67% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? resolve?
- When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is When will Databricks officially announce an IPO? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Databricks confirms an IPO the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.