Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
ExchangeBusiness & CorporateMacro & EconomyYearlyCorporate ActionsEquitiesTech2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Databricks · —
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Stored reference
Databricks 71%
Databricks 71%Market quality
10 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$214.2
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
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DatabricksSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 19, 26, 8:26 PM UTCJan 5, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Databricks
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Stripe's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
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PolymarketWill Databricks officially announce an IPO this year?
ForecastExWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
LimitlessRules
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.
