Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
2.0 pts (24h)ExchangeBusiness & CorporateMacro & EconomyYearlyCorporate ActionsEquitiesTech3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Stripe 53.5%+2.0pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$218.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 73.0%
Spread
53.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-18.5 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 8:26 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.
