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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Macro & Economy

Macro & Economy

328 related markets tracked across sources for Macro & Economy.

Open Markets

234

Total Volume

$2,222,511

24h Volume

$268,639

Total Liquidity

$974,596

Open Markets

234

Total Volume

$2,222,511

24h Volume

$268,639

Total Liquidity

$974,596

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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

3.9%15d
40.0–42.9
40.0–42.9
+9.3%34%
43.0–45.9
43.0–45.9
26%
46.0–48.9
46.0–48.9
22%

+4 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$75.2K
24h Vol$10.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in June 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in June 2026?

1.0%20d
↓ $76
↓ $76
+16.4%100%
↓ $74
↓ $74
+25.4%100%
↓ $72
↓ $72
+17.9%100%

+11 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$110.5K
24h Vol$3.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026

Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026

0.1%14d
<-4%
<-4%
-0.1%33%
-4%– -2%
-4%– -2%
23%
-2%– 0%
-2%– 0%
-0.1%10%

+5 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$43.8K
24h Vol$1.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
USD x Iranian rials End of June?

USD x Iranian rials End of June?

7.0%18d
1.8-1.9M
1.8-1.9M
-0.5%32%
1.7-1.8M
1.7-1.8M
+1.5%25%
1.9-2.0M
1.9-2.0M
-1.0%19%

+4 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$22.4K
24h Vol$4.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
Yes
83.1%
Manifold Markets
No
16.9%
Community forecast29 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$30.4K
24h Vol$12.2K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

42.5%3h
6.0%–6.9%
6.0%–6.9%
+46.5%88%
7.0%–7.9%
7.0%–7.9%
+2.5%6%
5.0%–5.9%
5.0%–5.9%
-42.5%5%

+4 more outcomes

61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$20.3K
24h Vol$7.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $1T by the end of 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
98%
Manifold Markets
No
2%
Community forecast143 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$140.2K
24h Vol$70.3K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

9.5%18d
↑ 1.8M
↑ 1.8M
+15.0%90%
↑ 1.9M
↑ 1.9M
+6.5%37%
↓ 1.7M
↓ 1.7M
-9.5%25%

+3 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$60.7K
24h Vol$4.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?

Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?

8.5%7d
1%–1.5%
1%–1.5%
-0.5%43%
<1%
<1%
+8.5%35%
1.5%–2%
1.5%–2%
+1.1%13%

+1 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$75.8K
24h Vol$1.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

22.0%20d
↓ $380
↓ $380
+12.4%100%
↓ $370
↓ $370
+21.9%100%
↓ $360
↓ $360
+42.0%100%

+11 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$40.7K
24h Vol$3.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by June 30?

2.5%20d
↑$85B
↑$85B
+39.0%100%
↓$80B
↓$80B
+17.9%100%
↑$90B
↑$90B
-10.0%37%

+7 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$87.5K
24h Vol$1.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

25.5%1mo
$2.55B
$2.55B
-0.1%97%
$2.7B
$2.7B
-0.9%94%
$2.85B
$2.85B
-38.0%52%

+2 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$26.2K
24h Vol$2.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

3.4%4d
No Change
No Change
+3.4%99%
Increase
Increase
-1.1%1%
Decrease
Decrease
-1.9%0%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$45.5K
24h Vol$712.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in June 2026?

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in June 2026?

3.0%20d
↑ $136
↑ $136
+23.9%100%
↓ $132
↓ $132
+15.4%100%
↓ $128
↓ $128
+11.5%89%

+11 more outcomes

61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$11K
24h Vol$6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
3rd largest private company end of June?

3rd largest private company end of June?

0.6%20d
OpenAI
OpenAI
-0.5%91%
Anthropic
Anthropic
5%
Anduril
Anduril
+1.1%3%

+9 more outcomes

60 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$32K
24h Vol$181.9
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Elon Musk
97.5%
Manifold Markets
Jeff Bezos
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Bernard Arnault
0%

+13 more outcomes

Community forecast113 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$31.8K
24h Vol$4.9K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Bank of Korea decision in July?

Bank of Korea decision in July?

1.0%1mo
Increase
Increase
-1.5%70%
No Change
No Change
+1.0%31%
Decrease
Decrease
-0.1%0%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$31.9K
24h Vol$695.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in June 2026?

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in June 2026?

14.5%20d
↑ $5.50
↑ $5.50
+25.9%100%
↑ $5.00
↑ $5.00
+50.0%100%
↓ $4.50
↓ $4.50
+37.5%100%

+11 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$21.5K
24h Vol$4.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

10.5%12d
$25B
$25B
-0.3%93%
$26B
$26B
-0.6%92%
$27.5B
$27.5B
-0.5%89%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$26.2K
24h Vol$695.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

0.5%1mo
$1.9B
$1.9B
-0.4%94%
$2.0B
$2.0B
-1.1%90%
$2.125B
$2.125B
+0.5%55%

+2 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$23.9K
24h Vol$735.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

17.0%1mo
$1.2B
$1.2B
91%
$1.3B
$1.3B
-2.5%76%
$1.4B
$1.4B
-0.5%47%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$21.4K
24h Vol$952.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by June 30?

3.0%1mo
↑$150B
↑$150B
+16.4%100%
↑$160B
↑$160B
+15.5%66%
↑$155B
↑$155B
-3.0%60%

+9 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.4K
24h Vol$502.9
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Largest company end of June 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
NVIDIA
91%
Manifold Markets
Apple
2.5%
Manifold Markets
Alphabet (Google)
6%

+5 more outcomes

Community forecast48 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$21.1K
24h Vol$2.6K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

3rd largest company end of June 2026?

20d
Manifold Markets
NVIDIA
2.8%
Manifold Markets
Apple
58.2%
Manifold Markets
Alphabet (Google)
37%

+5 more outcomes

Community forecast17 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol$1.7K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by June 30?

4.0%20d
↓$12.5B
↓$12.5B
+6.5%100%
↓$12.75B
↓$12.75B
+21.9%100%
↓$12B
↓$12B
+0.5%61%

+8 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.4K
24h Vol$487.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

2.0%20d
↑$39B
↑$39B
100%
↑$42.5B
↑$42.5B
+44.5%100%
↑$40B
↑$40B
+40.0%100%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$34.5K
24h Vol$165
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

0.3%1mo
No Change
No Change
+0.6%80%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
-1.0%12%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-0.3%5%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$11.5K
24h Vol$191.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

5mo
Manifold Markets
Apple
97%
Manifold Markets
Microsoft
96.8%
Manifold Markets
Saudi Aramco
60.9%

+17 more outcomes

Community forecast23 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$462.8
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will OKLO reach $200 by the end of 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
29%
Manifold Markets
No
71%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$9.7K
24h Vol$421
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
16%
No
No
84%
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$15.9K
24h Vol$133.8
KalshiKALSHI
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

5.0%6mo
More than $1 trillion
More than $1 trillion
+5.0%95%
More than $900 Billion
More than $900 Billion
+2.0%97%
More than $1.2 trillion
More than $1.2 trillion
+3.0%68%

+6 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$5.6K
24h Vol$344.6
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the US average gas price fall below $4.00 in June 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
Yes
18.4%
Manifold Markets
No
81.6%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.3K
24h Vol$410
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

US Gas Price $4.100 or below in June 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
Yes
51.6%
Manifold Markets
No
48.4%
Community forecast18 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$496.9
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
30.1%
Manifold Markets
No
69.9%
Community forecast16 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2K
24h Vol$543.2
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

0.8%18h
Yes
Yes
+0.0%96%
No
No
-0.0%4%
63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.4K
24h Vol$358.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?

3.0%19d
$1.230M - $1.244M
$1.230M - $1.244M
32%
$1.216M - $1.230M
$1.216M - $1.230M
-3.0%18%
>$1.244M
>$1.244M
-0.5%16%

+4 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$987
24h Vol$402
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above __?

Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above __?

2.9%13h
$26.0B
$26.0B
+2.9%96%
$26.5B
$26.5B
-3.0%64%
$27.0B
$27.0B
-2.5%50%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$516
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

11.5%2mo
No change
No change
+2.0%58%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-11.5%37%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
5%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$222.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

30T market cap company before 2030?

3y
Manifold Markets
Yes
25%
Manifold Markets
No
75%
Community forecast41 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$21.6K
24h Vol$100
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?

Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?

2.5%6d
Yes
Yes
+0.0%52%
No
No
-0.0%49%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$11.4K
24h Vol$145.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

1.0%6mo
Above $6.00
Above $6.00
-1.0%14%
Above $4.80
Above $4.80
-3.0%47%
Above $4.60
Above $4.60
+11.0%63%

+12 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.4K
24h Vol$157
KalshiKALSHI
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3.2%6mo
BMO
BMO
+0.9%10%
Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank
+0.1%8%
Scotiabank
Scotiabank
+0.1%8%

+16 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$23.8K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Lynas LAMP samarium oxide production exceed 5 tonnes Sm₂O₃ on June 30, 2026?

19d
Manifold Markets
Yes
15%
Manifold Markets
No
85%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.6K
24h Vol$150
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will AMD become a Trillion Dollar Company before 2030? 🎢💻🤑🚀⚡

3y
Manifold Markets
Yes
77.8%
Manifold Markets
No
22.2%
Community forecast26 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$100
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?

Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?

31.5%18h
Yes
Yes
-0.3%25%
No
No
+0.3%76%
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$8.5K
24h Vol$682.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

US Gas Price on June 15?

4d
Manifold Markets
$4.100 or below
16%
Manifold Markets
Between $4.101 and $4.299
81.2%
Manifold Markets
$4.300 or higher?
2.8%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.9K
24h Vol$256.5
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

2.0%13d
-1.5%–0%
-1.5%–0%
-5.5%41%
0%–1.5%
0%–1.5%
+1.0%19%
-3%– -1.5%
-3%– -1.5%
-2.0%14%

+3 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$36.6K
24h Vol$24.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
8%
No
No
93%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$29.6K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET