Macro & Economy
1100 related markets tracked across sources for Macro & Economy.
Open Markets
599
Total Volume
$31,255,639
24h Volume
$78,363
Total Liquidity
$7,058,659
Related Crypto Assets
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
1.0%5mo
85%
-1.0%15%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$7.7K
KALSHI
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
2.0%5mo
+3.0%59%
+5.0%44%
-2.0%32%
+10 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$6.9K
KALSHI
How high will the S&P get this year?
2.0%5mo
100%
+2.0%56%
+7.9%40%
+5 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$924.4K
24h Vol$7.5K
KALSHI
CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
7mo
96.5%
3.5%
Community forecast58 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will the S&P get this year?
2.3%5mo
-0.4%30%
-0.4%29%
-2.2%21%
+2 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$747.5K
24h Vol$4K
KALSHI
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
2.0%5mo
-2.0%76%
24%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$857.8K
24h Vol$2.3K
KALSHI
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
3mo
66%
35%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$610.4
POLYMARKET
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
5.0%5mo
99%
99%
99%
+11 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$686.7
KALSHI
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
4.3%8d
-0.5%79%
-4.3%17%
+1.7%3%
+2 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$162.4K
24h Vol$3.1K
POLYMARKET
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
7.0%5mo
-1.0%64%
-5.0%51%
+7.0%47%
+7 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$144.6K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHI
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2
6.0%26d
+1.0%99%
+1.0%98%
+4.0%95%
+6 more outcomes
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$44.4K
24h Vol$15K
KALSHI
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?
0.5%2mo
+3.5%36%
+0.5%22%
-2.3%20%
+4 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$37.4K
24h Vol$8.1K
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next CEO of X?
5mo
11%
11%
2%
+5 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$78.9K
24h Vol$736
KALSHI
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
0.1%5mo
88%
+0.1%12%
CoinRithm reference12%· ±4 pts
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$697.5K
24h Vol$231.4
KALSHI
Bank of England decision in July?
0.1%3d
+0.4%99%
-0.3%1%
0%
+2 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$79.9K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
0.7%5mo
-0.9%5%
-0.1%4%
-0.1%4%
+16 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$68.7K
24h Vol$685.7
POLYMARKET
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
11.0%5mo
99%
+11.0%43%
41%
+5 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$61.6K
24h Vol$678.8
KALSHIWill it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
5mo
97.9%
2.1%
Community forecast26 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
4.0%12d
96%
93%
-1.0%91%
+10 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$61.2K
24h Vol$583.1
KALSHI
Which companies will be acquired this year?
5mo
99%
99%
68%
+23 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$71.1K
24h Vol$508
KALSHI
Will Harvard tuition exceed $65,000 in 2026?
4mo
91%
9%
68 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$1.2K
FORECASTEXWill at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
1y
86.8%
13.2%
Community forecast68 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
5mo
+5.0%90%
80%
74%
+8 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$23.6K
24h Vol$1.9K
KALSHI
Starbucks total stores in Q3
2.0%1mo
-2.0%96%
+3.0%56%
13%
+3 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.7K
24h Vol$2.1K
KALSHIWhat will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
9.0%2mo
-5.0%31%
+11.0%21%
+9.0%19%
+4 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
3y
57%
43%
Community forecast347 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
4.0%5mo
+4.0%18%
13%
13%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$59.3K
24h Vol$552.2
KALSHI
CAVA restaurants in Q2
6.0%1mo
99%
-6.0%93%
-18.0%42%
+6 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$38.8K
24h Vol$630.1
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
2.5%15d
+2.5%65%
+1.3%35%
2%
+2 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$33.8K
24h Vol$458.5
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
2.0%2mo
+2.0%39%
+0.8%36%
-1.5%12%
+4 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$32.5K
24h Vol$645.9
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
3.5%2mo
+5.7%33%
-0.3%27%
-7.8%22%
+4 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$29.6K
24h Vol$491.3
POLYMARKETCarried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
5mo
91%
9%
Community forecast19 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
7.8%2mo
-5.0%28%
+5.0%23%
+7.8%23%
+4 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$23.6K
24h Vol$810.6
POLYMARKET
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
5mo
56%
45%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$59.4K
24h Vol$258.4
POLYMARKET
DoorDash total orders in Q2
2.0%1mo
94%
83%
+2.0%24%
+4 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$34.7K
24h Vol$251.5
KALSHI
Airbnb bookings in Q2
5.0%1mo
94%
92%
82%
+7 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$20.1K
24h Vol$464.9
KALSHI2nd largest company end of July 2026?
5d
+7.6%84.6%
-7.5%14.7%
-0.1%0.5%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast74 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Robinhood gold subs in Q2
1mo
97%
94%
92%
+4 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$979
KALSHIWill the Gordie Howe Bridge open to traffic in 2026?
5mo
99%
1%
Community forecast9 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?
73y
19.7%
15.8%
12.7%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Initial jobless claims for the week ending July 25, 2026
2.0%4d
+7.0%94%
-6.0%93%
90%
+6 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$4.3K
24h Vol$1.1K
KALSHIWill the national debt surpass 40 trillion during Trumps presidency?
1y
97.4%
2.6%
Community forecast16 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
1mo
86.9%
13.1%
Community forecast34 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Harvard tuition exceed $66,000 in 2026?
4mo
94%
6%
56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$684
24h Vol$684
FORECASTEXUS defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
5mo
97.5%
2.5%
Community forecast66 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2
5.0%1mo
97%
88%
+5.0%18%
+2 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$41K
24h Vol$179.5
KALSHI30T market cap company before 2030?
3y
80%
20%
Community forecast42 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS3rd largest company end of July 2026?
5d
+0.1%99%
-0.1%0.6%
0.3%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast43 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS