KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below $3.80 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$34.8K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiUS gas prices on Election Day
KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow low will US gas prices get in September?
KalshiIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsWill national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
Manifold MarketsRules
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $95+14.9pt100%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $368.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026?
- Above $91.49+13.0pt99%
- Above $90.99+9.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+6.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.060099%
- Above 4.2200+18.0pt99%
- Above 3.980099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $235.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- $96.00 to $96.99+5.0pt14%
- $95.00 to $95.99+2.0pt14%
- $94.00 to $94.9913%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $240.5K
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Brent crude oil price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices this week
- Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Copper price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will US gas prices get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Below $3.80 at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does How low will US gas prices get in 2026? resolve?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How low will US gas prices get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.