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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Commodities
  3. How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

6.0% (24h)CommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Below $3.80
Below $3.80 81%-6.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.3

Liquidity

$200.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.9%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Mar 24, 26, 12:00 AMDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Below $3.8081%

Rules

If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.