KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBelow $3.80 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$40
Liquidity
$28.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 33.0%
Spread
29.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 12:00 AMDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below $2.6034%
Volume trend
$40Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.