Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
PoliticsWeeklyUS PoliticsCommoditiesElection2026 US Midterms3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 98.2%
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Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 5:35 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if democrats get 12x the us average gas price or more in the us house popular vote.
- https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- On election day, Tuesday November 3 2026, I will 12x the us average gas price for the day.
- If the average is $4.2000, then democrats must get 50.4% of the vote or higher.
- If the average is $5, democrats must get 60% of the popular vote in the us house elections.
- Here is democrats 2024 vote percent for example, the value on Wikipedia for 2026, which comes from official stats will be used.