PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Democrat 73%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$40.3
Liquidity
$26.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spread7d Change
+1.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 9:43 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrat73%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
Michigan's Senate election winner
3mo
76%
24%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$100.6
24h Vol$100.6
FUTUUR
Also available on Kalshi
Michigan Senate winner?
5.0%1y
-5.0%27%
71%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$202.8K
24h Vol$4.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$40Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.