PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70.3%-1.0pt
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70.3%-1.0ptMarket quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$68.3K
Liquidity
$385.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
86
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 9:43 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner
PolymarketMichigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsMichigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PolymarketMichigan Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Abdul El-Sayed (D) is 70%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Smarkets — Michigan Senate Election Winner · Democrat 69%
- Also available on Futuur — Michigan's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 69%
- Also available on Kalshi — Michigan Senate winner? · Abdul El-Sayed 68%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Michigan · Democrats 71%
