KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Flávio Bolsonaro · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Flávio Bolsonaro 86.3%Leader of 14 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Flávio Bolsonaro 86.3%Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$197.2K
Open interest
$4.2M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Flávio BolsonaroSpread
—
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 11, 25, 3:00 PM UTCOct 25, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Ciro GomesLost
Before close: 1% ·
Augusto CuryLost
Before close: 1% ·
Jair BolsonaroLost
Before close: 0% ·
Fernando HaddadLost
Before close: 0% ·
Tarcísio de FreitasLost
Before close: 0% ·
Michelle BolsonaroLost
Before close: 0% ·
Eduardo BolsonaroLost
Before close: 0% ·
Ratinho JúniorLost
Before close: 0% ·
Renan SantosLost
Before close: 0% ·
Romeu ZemaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Ronaldo CaiadoLost
Before close: 0% ·
Aldo RebeloLost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Flávio Bolsonaro
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PolymarketRules
If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AP
Rules for each outcome
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ciro Gomes
- If Ciro Gomes has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Augusto Cury
- If Augusto Cury has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jair Bolsonaro
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fernando Haddad
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tarcísio de Freitas
- If Tarcísio de Freitas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michelle Bolsonaro
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Eduardo Bolsonaro
- If Eduardo Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ratinho Júnior
- If Ratinho Júnior has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Renan Santos
- If Renan Santos has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Romeu Zema
- If Romeu Zema has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ronaldo Caiado
- If Ronaldo Caiado has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aldo Rebelo
- If Aldo Rebelo has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner? · Flavio Bolsonaro 89%