KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 59.2%-2.0ptLeader of 13 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$22.7K
Liquidity
$1.7M
High liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jan 18, 26, 3:00 PMOct 25, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
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Rules
If the named outcome has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AP
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 63% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60%
- Also available on Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 62%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Brazil Presidential Election Winner · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 61%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential election winner??
- Kalshi prices Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 59% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Brazil Presidential election winner? resolve?
- Brazil Presidential election winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2027.
- How is Brazil Presidential election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Brazil Presidential election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Polymarket, Manifold Markets.
