🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaElection2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80%
Forecasters
120
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 24, 23, 9:28 AM UTCJan 6, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
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Manifold MarketsRules
(English below)
- Este mercado resolve SIM se Lula, ou seu indicado nas eleições de 2026, for Presidente do Brasil na data original de fechamento do mercado [ver comentário].
- Se Lula ou seu indicado perder as eleições, o mercado resolve NÃO, e se Lula não for candidato e não indicar ninguém, o mercado resolve como N/A. Também resolve como N/A se não houver eleições.
- Resolve as YES if either Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or the candidate he endorses in the 2026 election is President of Brazil at the original closing date [see comment.] If Lula runs and loses, or his endorsee loses, resolve as NO.
- If Lula does not run and does not endorse anyone, resolve as N/A. Also resolve N/A if there are no elections.
