Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt78.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt21.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$196.6M

24h Vol

$3.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico63.5%
• Ken Paxton36.5%

Total Vol

$41M

24h Vol

$1.9M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.7pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.5%

Total Vol

$69.6M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.7%
• Republicans Sweep7.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%-3.0pt37.5%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%+5.5pt36.5%
• Lula da Silva <4%-1.0pt17.3%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt24.5%
• Republicans sweep