FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 85%
No 85%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityTraders
10
Comments
1
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Futuur🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
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PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether any minister serving in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration will be arrested at any time during calendar year 2026.
- For this market, arrest means being formally detained by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether the individual is still in office at the time of arrest.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by Brazilian judicial or law enforcement authorities.
- If any minister from Lula’s administration is formally arrested during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count.
