Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
1.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMusicEntertainmentElectionLatin America5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 72%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-7.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 1:14 AMDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3172%
Volume trend
$2Jul 218d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
- Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court.
- Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify.
- Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.