Selected book midpoint
December 31, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
December 31, 2027 42%Leader of 7 outcomes
December 31, 2027 42%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.3K
Liquidity
$277.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$881.1K
Bid / Ask
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December 31, 2027Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:35 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30, 2026Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?
FutuurFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
KalshiWill Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.