Current implied probability
No 82.2%-1.0pt
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$100.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:35 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
