PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Nicolás Maduro 87.4%-0.1ptLeader of 16 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$35.7K
Liquidity
$1.8M
High liquiditySpread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
383
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 6:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketVenezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketVenezuela crude oil production in September
KalshiVenezuela Liga FUTVE Champion
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
- If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
- In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
- If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
- If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 86%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — President of Venezuela at the end of 2026 · Delcy Rodríguez 83%
- Also available on Limitless — Venezuela leader end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 87%
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+2.4pt97%
- $50M+10.6pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.5K
- 24h Vol
- $795K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $657.9K
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.9pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Total Vol
- $748.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84.8%
- Republican Party-2.0pt15.2%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $247.6K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro at 87% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Venezuela leader end of 2026? resolve?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Venezuela leader end of 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- Where else is Venezuela leader end of 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Limitless.