PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Nicolás Maduro · —
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Stored reference
Nicolás Maduro 76%Leader of 16 outcomes
Nicolás Maduro 76%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$137.2K
Liquidity
$2.3M
High liquidityOpen interest
$649.6K
Bid / Ask
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Nicolás MaduroSpread
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Comments
485
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 4, 26, 6:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Nicolás Maduro
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
- If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
- In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
- If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
- If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 79%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — President of Venezuela at the end of 2026 · Delcy Rodríguez 94%
- Also available on Limitless — Venezuela leader end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 75%