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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro 70%-4.2%
Leader of 57 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$78.5K

Liquidity

$1.5M

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.2% / 0.3%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 4, 26, 6:25 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Nicolás Maduro70%

Rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
  • If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
  • In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
  • If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
  • If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

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Rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
  • If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
  • In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
  • If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
  • If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.