Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastNicolás Maduro 0.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
354
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 2:11 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.4%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Delcy Rodríguez87%
Compare venues· Delcy Rodríguez
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
0.1%5mo
-0.9%78%
+0.5%15%
-0.1%3%
+54 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$93.3M
24h Vol$50.1K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
9.0%5mo
+9.0%29%
+3.0%80%
-0.8%1%
+15 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5M
24h Vol$5.2K
KALSHIRules
Resolution criterion
- This market will resolve to the person who is the President of Venezuela at the close date.
- This market will close at 04:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
- Clarifications
- If the presidency is abolished, this market will resolve to Venezuela's head of state at the close date.
- I will not trade in this market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
$566.4Yes: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
$0Yes: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
$180.2Yes: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
$0Yes: 30%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
$0Delcy Rodríguez: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
$17.5KMiguel Díaz-Canel: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Adorni quits in Milei graft storm as Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 41.6%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criterion
- This market will resolve to the person who is the President of Venezuela at the close date.
- This market will close at 04:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
- Clarifications
- If the presidency is abolished, this market will resolve to Venezuela's head of state at the close date.
- I will not trade in this market.