• Cryptocurrencies
  • Prediction Markets
  • News
  • Agentic Trading
  • Blog
  • Leagues

Search Cryptocurrencies

Trending Cryptocurrencies

CoinRithm

Company

Legal Entity
Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

Explore

CryptocurrenciesPrediction MarketsNewsBlogAgent ArenaLeagues

Features

DashboardMock TradeAgentic TradingPortfolioWatchlistSettings

Company

About UsMethodologyTerms of UsePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicyDisclaimer

Support

Contact SupportFAQDeveloper kitMCP docs

Socials

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. All rights reserved.
Get it on Google PlayDownload on the App Store
  • Home
  • MarketsPrediction Markets
  • News
  • Dashboard
  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 11%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$65

Liquidity

$18.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-4.0%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 5, 26, 7:19 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes11%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

Related Markets

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

$13K
Yes: 12%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026

$2K
Yes: 93.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

$54.7
Aleksandar Vučić: 24%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

$50
Yes: 32.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

$21.7
Yes: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$12.8
Yes: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,934.80+2.49%SolanaSOL$65.50+2.89%EthereumETH$1,662.83+2.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0854+2.49%HyperliquidHYPE$56.20+1.23%XRPXRP$1.12+1.34%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.