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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

YearlyPoliticsGeopoliticsLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
Leader of 43 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$132.7

Liquidity

$524.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

May 4, 26, 7:58 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
0%

Selected outcome

Delcy Rodríguez91%

Rules

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

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Rules

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.