KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNithya Raman 38%+1.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$135.5K
Liquidity
$47.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Feb 7, 26, 10:00 PMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Nithya Raman38%
Compare venues· Karen Bass
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Who will be elected Los Angeles mayor in 2026?
1y
60%
37%
3%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
3mo
+0.1%62.4%
-0.1%37.5%
0%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast162 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Caruso wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Asaad Alnajjar wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Vincent Wali wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gina Viola wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rae Huang wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.9k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago$1.0k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago$1.0k39.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — No19h ago$2.3k38.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday
KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday$1.9k38.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday
KALSHIKaren Bass — Noyesterday$6.4k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago$1.6k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes2d ago$1.8k63.0%KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes6d ago
KALSHIKaren Bass — Yes6d agoVolume trend
$135.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Caruso wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Asaad Alnajjar wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Vincent Wali wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gina Viola wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rae Huang wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.