Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle EastUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityGadi Eizenkot 52%+3.0%Leader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$513.9K
Liquidity
$2.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 15, 25, 12:27 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gadi Eizenkot52%
Compare venues· Gadi Eisenkot
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall83% match · verified | High | 52% | -1pt | $2.3K | $40.3K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 52% | -1pt | $513.9K | $2.3M | 16 minutes ago | |
 Futuur68% match · auto | Low | 53% | 0pt | $0 | $3.5K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless90% match · linked | Low | 52% | -1pt | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets90% match · verified | — | 46% | -7pt | — | — | 35 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets78% match · verified | — | 51% | -2pt | — | — | 8 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets97% match · auto | — | 48% | -5pt | — | — | 8 days ago | Open → |
 PredictIt69% match · linked | — | 3% | -50pt | — | — | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
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9%
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Total Vol$1K
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FUTUURRules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
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Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.