KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ashley Hinson 58%+2.0pt
Market quality
92 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$99.8K
Liquidity
$865.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Ashley Hinson 58% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Iowa Senate Election Winner · Ashley Hinson (R) 60%
- Also available on Gemini — Iowa US Senate Winner · Ashley Hinson 58%
- Also available on Futuur — Iowa's Senate election winner · Republican Party 57%
- Also available on Smarkets — Iowa Senate Election Winner · Republican 60%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iowa Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Ashley Hinson at 58% as of August 27, 2026.
- When does Iowa Senate winner? resolve?
- Iowa Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Iowa Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Iowa Senate winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Gemini, Futuur, Smarkets.