PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Ashley Hinson (R) · —
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Stored reference
Ashley Hinson (R) 55.5%
Ashley Hinson (R) 55.5%Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$37.5K
Liquidity
$514.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$438.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Ashley Hinson (R)Spread
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Comments
10
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:29 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Ashley Hinson (R)
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsIowa Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketTurek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?
PolymarketIf Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Ashley Hinson (R) is 55%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Ashley Hinson (R) 55% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa · Republicans 54%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Iowa Senate Race · Republican 57%
- Also available on Kalshi — Iowa Senate winner? (Person) · Ashley Hinson 56%
- Also available on Futuur — Iowa's Senate election winner · Republican Party 62%
