PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ashley Hinson (R) 65.3%+0.5pt
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$428.7
Liquidity
$36.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 35.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
4
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:29 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Iowa Senate winner? · Ashley Hinson 66%
- Also available on Futuur — Iowa's Senate election winner · Republican Party 61%
- Also available on Smarkets — Iowa Senate Election Winner · Republican 64%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iowa Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Ashley Hinson (R) at 65% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Iowa Senate Election Winner resolve?
- Iowa Senate Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Iowa Senate Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Where else is Iowa Senate Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Futuur, Smarkets.