Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Ashley Hinson (R) 64%+1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.4 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 27, 24, 4:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWinning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurWill the Democratic party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
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- 24h Vol
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+16 more outcomes
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
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- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2026 Iowa Senate race??
- Manifold Markets prices Ashley Hinson (R) at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2026 Iowa Senate race? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2026 Iowa Senate race? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.