Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrat 74%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 30, 25, 3:48 AM UTCJan 25, 27, 3:43 AM UTC
Trends
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Winning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurWho will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Iowa Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the party of the candidate sworn in as the 44th Governor of Iowa.
- If the new governor is Republican/GOP (or if Kim Reynolds wins), the market will resolve "Republican".
- If the new governor is a Democrat, the market will resolve "Democrat".
- If a candidate is sworn in but does not have clear affiliations with the aforementioned parties, the market will resolve "the named outcome".
- Only if no election is held or if a governor is not sworn in will the market resolve N/A.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Democrat at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on January 25, 2027.
- How is Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the party of the candidate sworn in as the 44th Governor of Iowa.