Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrat 89.5%+0.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleDec 30, 25, 3:48 AM UTCJan 25, 27, 3:43 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Iowa Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Democrats win the Texas Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the party of the candidate sworn in as the 44th Governor of Iowa.
- If the new governor is Republican/GOP (or if Kim Reynolds wins), the market will resolve "Republican".
- If the new governor is a Democrat, the market will resolve "Democrat".
- If a candidate is sworn in but does not have clear affiliations with the aforementioned parties, the market will resolve "the named outcome".
- Only if no election is held or if a governor is not sworn in will the market resolve N/A.
