Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRob Sand 71.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 25, 5:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsWinning party in Iowa's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurIowa Gubernatorial Election Winner
SmarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsBryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
PolymarketRules
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iowa_gubernatorial_election
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Rob Sand at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iowa_gubernatorial_election