Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrats 64.4%-4.4pt
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 26, 11:25 AMNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republicans36%
Compare venues· Democrats
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 64% | — | — | — | 22 hours ago | |
 PredictIt95% match · verified | — | 57% | — | — | — | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Wisconsin?
6mo
57%
45%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50Jul 234d of dataJul 26
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