FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 81%
Democratic Party 81%Market quality
38 / 100
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This set of markets predicts which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Wisconsin, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Wisconsin will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.
- Wisconsin does not require a runoff election.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the Associated Press presidential race call.
- Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election? · Democrats 82%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Wisconsin Governor Race · Democrat 86%
- Also available on Kalshi — Wisconsin Governor winner? · David Crowley 83%
- Also available on Polymarket — Wisconsin Governor Election Winner · David Crowley (D) 86%
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Wisconsin? · Democratic (Crowley) 82%