KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Roger Marshall 82%-2.0pt
Market quality
90 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$115K
Liquidity
$395.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86%
- Yes-3.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.1pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.6pt40%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.8pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.5pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $27.6M
- 24h Vol
- $429.1K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kansas Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Roger Marshall at 82% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Kansas Senate winner? resolve?
- Kansas Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Kansas Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.