KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRepublicans, 3+ pts 87%+8.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
38.0% / 42.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 1:02 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republicans, 9+ pts40%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 216d of dataJul 29
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in Kansas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.