KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ossoff, 2+ pts 94%+3.8ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$28.2K
High liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 1:02 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt78%
- New People (NL)-3.7pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt2%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.6pt37%
- Édouard Philippe25%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $135.7M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt89.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $32.5M
- 24h Vol
- $819.6K
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+3.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $693.9K
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance+1.0pt23%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio11%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $67.5M
- 24h Vol
- $559.9K
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Georgia Senate margin of victory?
- Kalshi prices Ossoff, 2+ pts at 94% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Georgia Senate margin of victory resolve?
- Georgia Senate margin of victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Georgia Senate margin of victory settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.