How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
48 14.2%+1.0ptLeader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
48 14.2%+1.0ptMarket quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$298.8K
Open interest
$1.3M
High open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
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KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
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Manifold MarketsHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketRules
If the Republican party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
Rules for each outcome
- 48
- If the Republican party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47
- If the Republican party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 49
- If the Republican party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50
- If the Republican party has exactly 50 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 46
- If the Republican party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 45
- If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 51
- If the Republican party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 52
- If the Republican party has exactly 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 45
- If the Republican party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 53
- If the Republican party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 54
- If the Republican party has exactly 54 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 55
- If the Republican party has exactly 55 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 57
- If the Republican party has above 57 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56
- If the Republican party has exactly 56 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57
- If the Republican party has exactly 57 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.