How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 193 20.4%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$1.7M
High liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 13, 25, 2:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the Republican Party has the named outcome House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
- If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 203-207 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 208-212 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms??
- Kalshi prices Below 193 at 20% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? resolve?
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Republican Party has the named outcome House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, PredictIt.