How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 193 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Below 193 Stored bid–ask27%–28%Collected: Last trade: 27% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 25.7%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 11 outcomes
Below 193 Stored bid–ask27%–28%Collected: Last trade: 27% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 25.7%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$14.1K
Open interest
$2.6M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below 193Spread
—
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 13, 25, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Below 193
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
Rules for each outcome
- Below 193
- If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 198-202
- If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 193-197
- If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 203-207
- If the Republican Party has between 203-207 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 208-212
- If the Republican Party has between 208-212 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 218-222
- If the Republican Party has between 218-222 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 213-217
- If the Republican Party has between 213-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 223-227
- If the Republican Party has between 223-227 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 228-232
- If the Republican Party has between 228-232 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 233-237
- If the Republican Party has between 233-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 237
- If the Republican Party has above 237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.