KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBelow 193 21%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$1.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.8%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 13, 25, 2:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below 19321%
Also available on Polymarket
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2.5%4mo
-2.5%28%
+1.0%16%
-1.5%14%
+7 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$261.1K
24h Vol$4.2K
POLYMARKET
Also available on PredictIt
How many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?
22%
14%
14%
+8 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITRules
If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
- If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 203-207 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 208-212 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
- If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 203-207 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Republican Party has between 208-212 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.