How many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms11mo
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
192 or fewer 34%Leader of 11 outcomes
192 or fewer 34%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$1K
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 15, 25, 1:45 PM UTCSep 8, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates affiliated with the Republican Party in the 2026 elections.
For purposes of this market, Republican Party affiliation shall refer to a U.S. House candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Republican on the day of the election.
Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
For purposes of this market, Republican Party affiliation shall refer to a U.S. House candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Republican on the day of the election.
Members of the House of Representatives who are "delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.