PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 38%+0.0%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$81.7K
Liquidity
$282K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 11, 26, 11:22 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes38%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
5mo
61%
39%
Community forecast70 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Futuur
Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026?
5mo
65%
35%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S.
- Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.9k37.0%POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant8h ago
POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant8h ago$1.6k31.1%POLYMARKETYeswangwangdui3453d ago
POLYMARKETYeswangwangdui3453d ago$1.4k33.0%POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant3d ago
POLYMARKETYesDimpled-Constant3d ago$1.2k62.0%POLYMARKETNowhig4d ago
POLYMARKETNowhig4d ago$2.6k46.0%POLYMARKETYesAlert-Career4d ago
POLYMARKETYesAlert-Career4d ago$3.0k51.8%POLYMARKETYes0xf666…3efc5d ago
POLYMARKETYes0xf666…3efc5d ago$2.6k58.1%POLYMARKETNoPuntPuntPunt5d ago
POLYMARKETNoPuntPuntPunt5d ago$3.5k39.0%POLYMARKETYesdzagvadgfsad11d ago
POLYMARKETYesdzagvadgfsad11d agoVolume trend
$81.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S.
- Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.