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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

2.0% (24h)RegulationOne-OffCryptoUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 46%-0.0%
Market quality

100 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$5.6K

Liquidity

$53.8K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

45.0% / 46.0%

Spread

2.2%

Tight spread
7d Change

-13.0%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 11, 26, 11:25 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes46%

Manifold MarketsAlso available on Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
49%
Manifold Markets
No
51%
Community forecast47 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$51.2K
24h Vol$91.4
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,101.67+1.26%EthereumETH$1,637.65+0.77%

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Active in these topics

SolanaSOL$64.49+0.21%XRPXRP$1.11-0.99%BNBBNB$591.69+0.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.084+0.13%HyperliquidHYPE$54.13-3.10%CardanoADA$0.1626+0.32%

Related News

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.