Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
0.5 pts (24h)RegulationOne-OffTechCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$2.50-$3.00T · —
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Stored reference
$2.50-$3.00T 43.3%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
$2.50-$3.00T 43.3%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$18.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
$2.50-$3.00TSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 11:56 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $2.50-$3.00T
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
- If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time.
- If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class.
- Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
- The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
