Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
3.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffRegulationTechUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 33%-0.0%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
22.0% / 44.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 1:25 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes33%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall90% match · auto | Low | 74% | +41pt | $35.6 | $2.7K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 67% | +34pt | $0 | $3K | 13 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
8.0%5mo
-8.0%26%
74%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.6K
24h Vol$35.6
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
- Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
- Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures.
- This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$20Jul 83d of dataJul 10
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
- Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
- Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures.
- This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism.