Current community forecast
No 93.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 26, 3:22 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 11:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
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KalshiRules
The Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) was introduced on March 25, 2026 by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY).
- The bill would impose an immediate federal moratorium on all new AI data center construction until Congress passes legislation addressing AI safety, worker protections, and energy costs.
- It also includes an export ban on AI computing infrastructure to countries without equivalent safeguards.
- Resolves YES if S.4214 or a substantively identical bill is passed by both chambers and sent to the President before January 3, 2027.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress? resolve?
- Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) was introduced on March 25, 2026 by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY).