KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 90%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 90%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$339.2
Open interest
$4.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?
PolymarketWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCThe InformationMSNBCCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReutersthe Federal RegisterWhite HouseUnited States Congress
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. Only legislation enacted by a state legislature after Issuance qualifies. Executive orders, agency, utility-commission or permitting decisions, citizen-initiated ballot measures, and local ordinances do not qualify. A law that only limits tax incentives, sets electricity rates or cost allocation, sets siting standards, or orders a study does not qualify. A moratorium limited to a defined category of new data centers, such as those above a power-demand threshold, qualifies.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits, suspends, or pauses the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within the enacting state has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.