Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

50%

Marco Rubio

+0.1pt20%

Tucker Carlson

+39 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$701.3M

24h Vol$330.2K

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

1.4 pt (24h)2y

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

+0.4pt19%

Jon Ossoff

+0.5pt16%

Gavin Newsom

+0.1pt14%

+48 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.3B

24h Vol$145.5K

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Jon Ossoff

-1.0pt16.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

-2.0pt15.5%

Gavin Newsom

-1.0pt13.4%

+45 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$213.7M

24h Vol$624.6K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential Election

0.6 pt (24h)24d

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

-3.0pt52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

+2.0pt45.1%

Renan Santos

+0.6pt2%

+16 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$145.7M

24h Vol$490K

POLYMARKET

Presidential Election Winner 2028

0.9 pt (24h)2y

JD Vance

-0.5pt24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Jon Ossoff

12%

+49 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$704M

24h Vol$68.2K

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

7mo

Marine Le Pen

-0.2pt37.1%

Édouard Philippe

-1.0pt30.9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12.4%

+38 more outcomes

Medium quality (71)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$129M

24h Vol$241K

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the U.S. House?

1.0 pt (24h)4mo

Democratic Party

+1.0pt85.2%

Republican Party

-1.0pt14.8%

High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$29.1M

24h Vol$869.3K

KALSHI

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

0.1 pt (24h)10d

United Russia (ER)

74.3%

New People (NL)

-0.3pt21.8%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

+0.4pt3%

+5 more outcomes

Medium quality (73)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$26.1M

24h Vol$366.3K

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

4.2 pt (24h)3mo

Gadi Eizenkot

+4.2pt58.6%

Benjamin Netanyahu

28.3%

Naftali Bennett

-1.0pt7.1%

+16 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$36.6M

24h Vol$252.2K

POLYMARKET

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance

23.7%

Marco Rubio

+1.0pt12.4%

Jon Ossoff

-1.0pt11.3%

+27 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$65M

24h Vol$79.5K

KALSHI

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

July 18

+0.3pt100%

July 20

+0.1pt100%

July 22

+0.5pt100%

+20 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$29.1M

24h Vol$181.3K

POLYMARKET

2028 Republican presidential nominee

0.1 pt (24h)2y

J.D. Vance

45%

Marco Rubio

+1.0pt21%

Ron DeSantis

-0.1pt4%

+35 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$63.7M

24h Vol$71.9K

KALSHI

Netanyahu out by which date?

4.0 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+4.0pt53%

May 31

July 31

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$124.3M

24h Vol$34.5K

POLYMARKET

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

0.1 pt (24h)3mo

Nicolás Maduro

-0.1pt87.4%

Delcy Rodríguez

-2.5pt9.5%

María Corina Machado

+0.2pt2.1%

+13 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$96M

24h Vol$35.7K

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

1mo

Democrats Sweep

-1.0pt51%

R Senate, D

+1.0pt36%

Republicans Sweep

12%

+2 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$11.4M

24h Vol$128.2K

POLYMARKET

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

8mo

Karen Bass

65.7%

Nithya Raman

34.3%

High quality (92)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$30.9M

24h Vol$41.8K

KALSHI

Which party will win the House in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

Democratic Party

+1.0pt86.3%

Republican Party

13.7%

High quality (92)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$10.4M

24h Vol$113.2K

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

4.0 pt (24h)24d

Flávio Bolsonaro

-6.0pt84.7%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

+4.0pt13.3%

Renan Santos

+0.2pt1%

+15 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$6.7M

24h Vol$95.3K

POLYMARKET

California Governor winner? (Person)

0.6 pt (24h)1y

Xavier Becerra

-0.7pt96%

Steve Hilton

+0.6pt4%

High quality (94)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$13.6M

24h Vol$41.2K

KALSHI

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

3.0 pt (24h)3d

Magdalena Andersson

+3.0pt79.8%

Ulf Kristersson

-2.0pt18.3%

Jimmie Åkesson

-0.7pt1%

+7 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$5M

24h Vol$60.6K

POLYMARKET

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

1mo

California

+1.4pt98%

North Carolina

98%

Texas

98%

+22 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$2.3M

24h Vol$129.2K

KALSHI

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

Helena Foulkes

-0.2pt98%

Dan McKee

+1.0pt2%

Gregory Stevens

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$778K

24h Vol$406.6K

KALSHI

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

3.0 pt (24h)10mo

Troy Jackson

-5.0pt64.7%

Susan Collins

+3.0pt35.4%

Dan Kleban

+12 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.4M

24h Vol$118.1K

KALSHI

Trump out as President before 2027?

3mo

94.1%

Yes

5.9%

CoinRithm referenceNo94%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.4M

24h Vol$21K

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

51.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro

42.5%

Jair Bolsonaro

2.8%

+11 more outcomes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4M

24h Vol$30.2K

KALSHI

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Elissa Slotkin

-4.7pt7.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

-0.3pt6.9%

Pete Buttigieg

-1.0pt6.9%

+42 more outcomes

Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.9M

24h Vol$36.2K

KALSHI

Berlin State Election Winner

5.0 pt (24h)10d

Linke

+5.0pt53.5%

CDU

-1.0pt27.7%

AfD

-0.8pt11.9%

+5 more outcomes

High quality (82)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.6M

24h Vol$26K

POLYMARKET

New York Governor winner?

1.5 pt (24h)1y

Kathy Hochul

-1.0pt91.1%

Bruce Blakeman

+1.5pt8.9%

High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$76.9K

KALSHI

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

1mo

Democratic Party

52%

Republican Party

48%

CoinRithm referenceDemocratic Party53%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.2M

24h Vol$19.2K

POLYMARKET

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

1.0 pt (24h)10d

AfD

+1.0pt79%

SPD

-1.0pt21%

CDU

+5 more outcomes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$850K

24h Vol$74.5K

POLYMARKET

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

4mo

Below 193

20.4%

203-207

-1.0pt14.8%

198-202

13%

+8 more outcomes

High quality (85)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.7M

24h Vol$13.3K

KALSHI

What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?

5.0 pt (24h)15d

Biden

-15.0pt80%

Hottest

-13.0pt79%

Democrat

-22.0pt74%

+36 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$367.2K

24h Vol$99.3K

KALSHI

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

0.1 pt (24h)11d

+0.1pt99%

Yes

-0.1pt1%

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$601.1K

24h Vol$50K

POLYMARKET

California Governor winner?

0.3 pt (24h)1y

Xavier Becerra

-0.2pt96%

Steve Hilton

+0.3pt4%

High quality (90)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.4M

24h Vol$20.2K

KALSHI

NJ-07 House winner?

10.0 pt (24h)1y

Rebecca Bennett

-10.0pt70.3%

Thomas Kean Jr.

+13.0pt29.7%

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$197.1K

24h Vol$159.9K

KALSHI

Maine Senate Election Winner

2.0 pt (24h)1mo

Troy Jackson (D)

+2.0pt72.3%

Susan Collins (R)

-1.0pt27.7%

High quality (85)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.3M

24h Vol$20.8K

POLYMARKET

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

10d

United Russia (ER)

+0.3pt100%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

-0.2pt0%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

+5 more outcomes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.6M

24h Vol$6.8K

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7.0 pt (24h)24d

Augusto Cury

-7.0pt45.5%

Renan Santos

+11.5pt42.4%

Ronaldo Caiado

-2.0pt8.1%

+16 more outcomes

High quality (77)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1M

24h Vol$24.7K

POLYMARKET

Ohio Governor winner?

2.0 pt (24h)1y

Amy Acton

+2.0pt54.4%

Vivek Ramaswamy

+1.0pt45.6%

High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.6M

24h Vol$14.3K

KALSHI

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

0.3 pt (24h)3mo

Alexandru Nazare

+2.5pt25%

Sorin Grindeanu

-0.3pt20%

Eugen Tomac

-1.3pt6%

+33 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.6M

24h Vol$5.2K

POLYMARKET

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

2.0 pt (24h)1y

Abdul El-Sayed

-3.0pt58.3%

Mike Rogers

+2.0pt39.8%

Haley Stevens

+1 more outcomes

High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.9M

24h Vol$9.7K

KALSHI

MN-01 House winner?

19.0 pt (24h)1y

Brad Finstad

+22.0pt89.4%

Jake Johnson

-19.0pt10.6%

Medium quality (68)Wide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$189.3K

24h Vol$111.9K

KALSHI

IA-01 House winner?

7.0 pt (24h)1y

Christina Bohannan

-7.0pt69%

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

+8.0pt31%

High quality (84)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$150.5K

24h Vol$141.5K

KALSHI

Trump out as President by September 30?

21d

99%

Yes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$438.3K

24h Vol$42.1K

POLYMARKET

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

4.2 pt (24h)4mo

230-233

12.8%

226-229

11.8%

234-237

11.8%

+9 more outcomes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.7M

24h Vol$8.6K

KALSHI

Florida Governor winner?

Byron Donalds

82%

David Jolly

18%

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$826.2K

24h Vol$17.1K

KALSHI

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

1.0 pt (24h)10d

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

+0.5pt88.2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

-1.1pt5.9%

New People (NL)

+1.0pt5.9%

+5 more outcomes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$510.3K

24h Vol$28.7K

POLYMARKET

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

0.3 pt (24h)3d

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

+0.3pt99%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

-0.3pt1%

Moderate Party (M)

+6 more outcomes

High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.6M

24h Vol$6.2K

POLYMARKET

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