Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
8.8 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+8.8pt24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.9pt18%
Gavin Newsom-0.4pt15%+51 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.3B
24h Vol$2M
POLYMARKETElection
20,525 markets tracked all-time for Election, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Key markets
- Nithya Raman leads “Los Angeles Mayor winner?” at 96% on Kalshi.
- Scott Colom leads “Mississippi Senate winner?” at 82.8% on Kalshi.
- Marine Le Pen leads “Next French Presidential Election” at 39.2% on Polymarket.
Selected open markets with a clear leader. Each line shows one venue's market-implied probability, not a combined forecast or tradable quote. Data timestamps may differ from venue quote or last trade times.
Open Markets
13,960
Total Volume
$7,381,416,564
24h Volume
$157,072,158
Liquidity + open interest
$1,802,755,327
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (6)
Democrats win US House to secure control of Congress in midtermsCointelegraph
Democrats Win House, Gaining New Leverage Over Crypto LegislationThe Defiant
Democrats claim control of the US SenateCointelegraph
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown defeats Jon Husted, dealing a blow to crypto PAC FairshakeThe Block
Election 2026: CoinDesk live blogCoindesk
US midterms election 2026 live: What they mean for cryptoCointelegraphJon Ossoff+8.8pt24%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.9pt18%Gavin Newsom-0.4pt15%POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
4.9 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance-4.9pt31%
Marco Rubio+0.1pt19%
Ron DeSantis+6.7pt11%+40 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$724.4M
24h Vol$3.4M
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
6.3 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+6.3pt18%JD Vance-4.8pt14%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.1pt13%+52 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$729.9M
24h Vol$3M
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
7.0 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+7.0pt22%Gavin Newsom-3.0pt14%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%+50 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$263.4M
24h Vol$6.2M
KALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
54.3 pt (24h)7mo
Nithya Raman+54.2pt96%Karen Bass-54.3pt4%High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$64.7M
24h Vol$18.4M
KALSHI
Mississippi Senate winner?
67.0 pt (24h)2mo
Scott Colom+67.0pt82%Cindy Hyde-Smith-69.0pt17%CoinRithm referenceScott Colom (D)84%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$18.8M
24h Vol$16.6M
KALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
5.0 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+5.0pt17%Gavin Newsom-2.0pt14%J.D. Vance-9.0pt11%+32 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$82.4M
24h Vol$2.8M
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
7.9 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance-5.0pt29%Marco Rubio+2.0pt25%Ron DeSantis+7.9pt12%+43 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$76.5M
24h Vol$2.5M
KALSHI
Next French Presidential Election
0.6 pt (24h)5mo
Marine Le Pen-0.6pt39.2%
David Lisnard-1.3pt14.7%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.5pt12.8%+42 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$165.2M
24h Vol$921.7K
POLYMARKET
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
46.3 pt (24h)2mo
Above 52+46.3pt99%52-14.9pt1%51-7.0pt0%+7 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$20.5M
24h Vol$5.7M
KALSHI
Alaska Senate winner?
21.7 pt (24h)2mo
Democratic party+18.0pt89%Republican party-21.7pt9%CoinRithm referenceDemocratic party80%· 20 pt venue spread
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$12.5M
24h Vol$5.7M
KALSHI
Blue wave in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
11.6 pt (24h)2mo
Yes100%+11.6pt
No0%
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$10M
24h Vol$5M
KALSHI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.3 pt (24h)1mo
November 1+0.3pt100%November 2+0.8pt100%November 3+2.9pt100%+39 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$44.5M
24h Vol$924.9K
POLYMARKET
US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$6.1M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
71.7 pt (24h)2mo
Above 249+71.7pt97%246-249-6.2pt5%242-245-16.8pt0%+9 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$9.6M
24h Vol$3M
KALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory
62.9 pt (24h)12mo
James Talarico, 5+ pts+62.9pt100%James Talarico, 8+ pts+85.7pt100%James Talarico, 4+ pts+53.8pt100%+20 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$5.8M
24h Vol$3.1M
KALSHI2026 Texas Senate Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$4.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)2026 Florida Governor Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$3.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)2026 Michigan Senate Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interest
24h Vol$3.6M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)US Senate Control After the 2026 Midterms
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$3.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
54.0 pt (24h)12mo
Democrats, 12 to 14%+54.0pt70%Democrats, 14 to 16%+22.0pt30%Democrats, 16% and above-0.4pt3%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.7M
24h Vol$1.6M
KALSHI
NY-17 House winner?
44.3 pt (24h)2mo
Cait Conley+44.0pt99%Mike Lawler-44.3pt1%CoinRithm referenceCait Conley (D)99%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.9M
24h Vol$2.8M
KALSHI
Nevada Governor winner?
24.9 pt (24h)1mo
Aaron Ford+24.9pt100%Joe Lombardo-24.9pt0%CoinRithm referenceAaron Ford (D)100%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (75)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$6.7M
24h Vol$1.6M
KALSHI
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
51.6 pt (24h)2mo
Below 193+51.6pt100%193-197-15.9pt0%198-202-10.9pt0%+8 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$9.2M
24h Vol$1.1M
KALSHI2026 Texas Governor Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$2.8M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
3.1 pt (24h)1mo
Nicolás Maduro+3.1pt88%Delcy Rodríguez+0.5pt11%No Head of State-0.5pt1%+13 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$99.4M
24h Vol$53.9K
POLYMARKET
Kansas Governor winner?
61.4 pt (24h)2mo
Cindy Holscher+61.4pt97%Ty Masterson-62.3pt3%CoinRithm referenceCindy Holscher (D)98%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (97)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3M
24h Vol$2M
KALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
In 2026
15.8 pt (24h)27d
Yes4%-15.8pt
No96%
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$1.3M
KALSHI
Netanyahu out by which date?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
June 30,-6.5pt41%March 31,28%December 31+2.0pt20%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$125M
24h Vol$23.9K
POLYMARKETMichigan Senate margin of victory
26.5 pt (24h)12mo
El-Sayed, 2+ pts+26.5pt100%El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts+29.6pt100%El-Sayed, 1+ pts+22.7pt100%+14 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$1.3M
KALSHI
Trump out as President before 2027?
0.4 pt (24h)1mo
Yes4%+0.4pt
No96%-0.4pt
CoinRithm referenceNo96%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (91)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.8M
24h Vol$211.7K
POLYMARKET
NC-03 House winner?
40.0 pt (24h)2mo
Raymond Smith Jr.+38.0pt80%Greg Murphy-40.0pt19%CoinRithm referenceRaymond Smith Jr. (D)81%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (94)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$1.4M
KALSHI
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
5.0 pt (24h)11mo
No one-5.0pt41%Gadi Eizenkot+10.0pt41%Benjamin Netanyahu-5.0pt13%+18 more outcomes
High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.3M
24h Vol$270.6K
KALSHI
Closest Senate race in 2026?
89.0 pt (24h)1mo
Mississippi+89.0pt92%Alaska+0.6pt10%Ohio-6.5pt2%+17 more outcomes
High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$842.1K
KALSHIUS Congress Control After the 2026 Midterms
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$1.7M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
32.2 pt (24h)2mo
Yes99%+32.2pt
No1%
CoinRithm referenceYes100%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$974.4K
KALSHI2026 California Governor Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$1.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)VA-05 House winner?
34.6 pt (24h)2mo
John McGuire+30.1pt90%Tom Perriello-34.6pt6%CoinRithm referenceJohn McGuire (R)91%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (87)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$780.6K
KALSHINV-02 House winner?
64.5 pt (24h)2mo
Teresa Benitez-Thompson+63.0pt99%David Flippo-64.5pt1%CoinRithm referenceTeresa Benitez-Thompson (D)99%· 0 pt venue spread
Medium quality (72)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$1.1M
KALSHI
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
9.5 pt (24h)7mo
Magdalena Andersson+9.5pt64%
Ulf Kristersson-8.7pt25%
Ebba Busch+0.9pt4%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.8M
24h Vol$72.2K
POLYMARKET
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
2.9 pt (24h)24d
Chiang Wan-an+2.5pt68.3%
Puma Shen-2.9pt31.7%
Kuo Hsi0%High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$276.2K
POLYMARKET
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
42.0 pt (24h)2mo
At least 53+42.0pt99%At least 54+59.0pt99%At least 52+31.0pt99%+10 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$980.7K
24h Vol$901.5K
KALSHI2026 Ohio Governor Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interest
24h Vol$914.2K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
18.0 pt (24h)6d
Mary Peltola+20.0pt88%Dan Sullivan-18.0pt14%Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.1%+4 more outcomes
High quality (87)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$480.6K
KALSHIFlorida Governor margin of victory
35.0 pt (24h)12mo
Donalds, 0.5+ pts+35.0pt99%Donalds, 1+ pts+34.0pt95%Donalds, 1.5+ pts-56.4pt3%+16 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1M
24h Vol$606.7K
KALSHI2026 Kansas Senate Race
3.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (66)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$740.4K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
2028 Democratic VP nominee
1.4 pt (24h)2y
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+5.1pt14%Elissa Slotkin-1.4pt7%Pete Buttigieg-0.9pt7%+43 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$130.8K
KALSHI
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
64.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes99%+64.0pt
No1%
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$454.7K
KALSHI